Focus on US Retail Sales on Wednesday

US Retail Sales unexpectedly contracted 0.1% MoM in February. The EUR/USD is off the highs near $1.2400 that it reached after the weak US retail sales report. The pair rebounds to the 1.2400 handle post-US data as EUR stays under pressure following Draghi’s dovish comments.

After bottoming out in the 1.2360 region, EUR/USD is now looking to regain the 1.2400 handle and above in the wake of disappointing data releases in the US docket. The USD/JPY recovers from the lows of ¥106.31 that it fell to after the weak retail sales. The USD is recovering across the board. Earlier, the US

Dollar suffered from the fears of more tariffs and a protectionist agenda following the ousting of Rex Tillerson as Secretary of State.

However, U.S. stock futures staged a recovery on Wednesday, pointing to a higher open on Wall Street. At 5:55AM ET (9:55GMT), the blue-chip Dow futures gained 91 points, or 0.36%, S&P 500 futures rose 8 points, or 0.30%, while the Nasdaq 100 futures traded up 30 points, or 0.42%.

Source 

https://www.investing.com/news/economy-news/top-5-things-to-know-in-the-market-on-wednesday-1340674

https://www.fxstreet.com/t/news?utm_expid=.kos2fgywQI2pDavx6HhkxQ.1&utm_referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fxstreet.com%2Ft%2Fh

https://www.ft.com/news-feed

https://www.fxstreet.com/currencies/eurusd?utm_expid=.3P9hKnebQNiWu3C5ouyZdg.0&utm_referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fxstreet.com%2Ft%2Fnews

https://www.fxstreet.com/currencies/gbpusd

https://www.ft.com/content/52a583b8-2788-11e8-b27e-cc62a39d57a0

 

 

Global Market Overview: Trump shakes the markets, oil edges up on strong China data

Trump made markets slip again. With Tillerson decision, and turmoils among his advisors who quit amid trade wars concerns US President sends strong uncertainty signals to markets, and not only within US. Asia equities down and Europe called lower amid US political uncertainty, US Treasuries yields fall as stocks stutter. Only oil prices are making good headlines, mainly due to China’s positive data outlook. Oil prices edge down after rocky trading on Tuesday.

Overnight on Wall Street the S&P 500 closed down 0.6% as the tech-focused Nasdaq dropped 1% after Mr Trump blocked Singapore-based Broadcom’s proposed $142bn takeover of Qualcomm on national interest grounds.

The combination of moves by Trump left investors scurrying for safety as global equities took a knock, the dollar fell and bonds rose.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (MIAPJ0000PUS) stumbled 0.7 percent, retreating from a 1-1/2 month high hit on Tuesday, with technology sector the biggest drag.

Japan’s Nikkei (N225) dropped 1 percent and South Korea’s Kospi index (KS11) declined 0.6 percent. China’s SSE (LON:SSE) Composite index (SSEC) and the blue-chip CSI 300 (CSI300) slipped 0.3 percent each.

The weakness followed overnight losses on Wall Street, with the Dow (DJI) off 0.7 percent, the S&P 500 (SPX) down 0.6 percent and the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) falling 1.0 percent.

Separately, Trump is looking to impose tariffs on up to $60 billion of Chinese imports, targeted at information technology, consumer electronics and telecoms.

Oil prices edged up earlier on Wednesday after posting two days of declines at the start of the week.

Support also came from China, where January-February domestic crude oil production fell 1.9 percent on the year to 30.37 million tonnes, equivalent to 3.77 million barrels per day (bpd), according to data from the National Statistical Bureau on Wednesday. At the same time, crude oil throughput rose 7.3 percent to 93.4 million tonnes, implying a need for more imports.

China’s industrial output grew 7.2 percent in the first two months of the year compared with the same period last year, beating expectations of a 6.1 percent hike.

Sources: 

https://www.investing.com/news/commodities-news/oil-prices-fall-on-relentless-rise-in-us-crude-output-1338074

https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/asian-shares-slip-as-tillerson-exit-tariffs-raise-protectionism-fears-1340301

https://www.investing.com/news/

https://www.ft.com/content/8fa467aa-2721-11e8-b27e-cc62a39d57a0

https://www.fxstreet.com/t/news?utm_expid=.kos2fgywQI2pDavx6HhkxQ.1&utm_referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fxstreet.com%2Ft%2Fnews

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-03-14/trump-moves-closer-to-presidency-of-one-with-tillerson-firing

Tillerson sacking pushes stock markets lower, USD follows

U.S. stock index futures trimmed early gains on Tuesday after U.S. President Donald Trump ousted Secretary of State Rex Tillerson.

“Mike Pompeo, Director of the CIA, will become our new Secretary of State. He will do a fantastic job! Thank you to Rex Tillerson for his service!” has twitted President of USA sending markets down. Stock markets move lower after Tillerson sacking but there is also a US inflation figures for February that definitely play a role.

In currencies, the dollar index, a measure of the greenback against a basket of peers, reversed course into negative territory after President Trump’s announcement. The yen pared losses to stand 0.5% lower at ¥106.90 per dollar and the pound was up 0.3% at $1.3949. The euro was 0.3% firmer at $1.2365.

US inflation figures for February rise 0.2% as expected before. While investors may have been whipsawed by January’s employment situation report, which showed a surprise jump in wage inflation, that is not translating into consumer price inflation. A 2.2% year-on-year rise, up from 2.1% in January, was also as forecast. The US Federal Reserve targets a 2% inflation rate and policymakers next meet on March 20 when they are expected to lift interest rates.

Stock exchanges: European bourses shift lower and gains for US futures trimmed. Frankfurt’s Dax index has edged down 0.2%, London’s FTSE 100 is off 0.4%, the pan-European Euro Stoxx 600 is down 0.2%

Brent trading under $65 a barrel. Oil prices dipped after falling in the previous session on concerns that growing US shale output could undermine efforts by Opec and its allies to cut production. US marker West Texas Intermediate was down 0.6% at $60.98 a barrel after retreating 1.1% on Monday. Brent crude slipped 0.3% to $64.76 a barrel after shedding 0.8% in the previous session.

Sources: 

https://www.ft.com/content/1736cba0-2663-11e8-b27e-cc62a39d57a0

https://www.ft.com/content/1736cba0-2663-11e8-b27e-cc62a39d57a0

https://www.investing.com/news/economy-news/top-5-things-to-know-in-the-market-on-tuesday-1338417

https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/stock-futures-edge-higher-ahead-of-inflation-data-1338726

https://www.fxstreet.com/t/news?utm_expid=.kos2fgywQI2pDavx6HhkxQ.1&utm_referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fxstreet.com%2Ft%2Fnews

https://www.fxstreet.com/currencies/eurusd?utm_expid=.3P9hKnebQNiWu3C5ouyZdg.0&utm_referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fxstreet.com%2Ft%2Fnews

https://www.fxstreet.com/currencies/gbpusd

https://www.fxstreet.com/currencies/usdjpy

https://www.fxstreet.com/currencies/audusd

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-03-13/trump-says-pompeo-to-replace-tillerson-as-secretary-of-state

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-03-13/u-s-inflation-firmed-in-february-without-outsize-acceleration

European markets expect the US inflation data

Markets are halted in the expectations of U.S. inflation data later in the day which could offer clues on the pace of interest rate rises this year. Most experts await core CPI to have slowed but remain solid at 0.2% month-on-month in February, following a 0.5% rise in January.

Stock Exchanges update: Frankfurt’s Dax index has edged up 0.02%, London’s FTSE 100 is off 0.07%, the pan-European Euro Stoxx 600 is down 0.08%. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 was Asia Pacific’s worst performer, down 0.4%, breaking a three-day run of gains. China’s CSI 300 index, tracking Shenzhen and Shanghai stocks, was off 0.9% while South Korea’s Kospi gained 0.4%. On Wall Street, gains for US technology stocks pushed the Nasdaq Composite 0.4% higher while the S&P 500 ended 0.1% lower and the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.6%.

Currencies update: the dollar index strengthened 0.2% to 90.067. The yen weakened 0.5% to ¥106.93 per dollar and the pound was 0.1% weaker at $1.3891. The euro was 0.1% off at $1.2317.

Commodities: Oil prices dipped after falling in the previous session on concerns that growing US shale output could undermine efforts by Opec and its allies to cut production. US marker West Texas Intermediate was down 0.2 per cent at $61.24 a barrel after retreating 1.1 per cent on Monday. Brent crude slipped 0.2 per cent to $64.84 a barrel after shedding 0.8 per cent in the previous session

Sources: 

https://www.fxstreet.com/currencies/eurusd?utm_expid=.3P9hKnebQNiWu3C5ouyZdg.0&utm_referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fxstreet.com%2Ft%2Fnews

https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/asia-stocks-edge-up-on-tech-shares-us-inflation-data-awaited-1338024

https://www.ft.com/content/1736cba0-2663-11e8-b27e-cc62a39d57a0

Global Stocks begin current week on a strong foot

Global stock markets started a week in bullish mode, surging to a two-week high on Monday after strong U.S. jobs data at the end of last week helped take the edge off investors’ concerns about the potential outbreak of trade war between the United States and other major economies. Germany’s DAX led gains in Europe, rising 0.9%, and MSCI’s world equity index, which tracks shares in 47 countries, hit a two-week high. MSCI’s index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan climbed 1.3%, poised for a third session of gains. Japan’s Nikkei gained 1.4% and the Shanghai Composite and the Shenzhen Component traded 0.3% and 0.8% higher respectively.

On Wall Street, U.S. stock futures pushed higher, an indication that equities may be ready to pick up where they left off late last week.

Dow futures were up 90 points, or 0.3%, from their Friday close, while S&P 500 futures gained 9 points, or 0.3%, and Nasdaq 100 futures tacked on 41 points, or roughly 0.6%.

Sources: 

https://www.ft.com/content/259aa50e-208c-11e8-9efc-0cd3483b8b80

https://www.investing.com/news/economy-news/top-5-things-to-know-in-the-market-on-monday-1336201

https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/asia-shares-rally-as-us-job-data-revive-risk-appetite-1335913

https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/asian-equities-rally-as-us-payrolls-lift-markets-1335948

https://www.fxstreet.com/news/us-prospects-of-a-trade-war-have-increased-bbh-201803121242

This week ahead: top news to watch this week (March 12 – 16)

Fellow traders, let us have a look at upcoming week in terms of important economic news.

Below you can find short table of major economic news during this week:

Monday: The market moving events on Monday can be considered as follows: Eurogroup Meeting + RBNZ Governor Grant Spencer speech impacting EUR and NZD respectively. China’s Foreign Direct Investment is due. Greek industrial production is set to rise 0.2% m/m in January. Portuguese CPI is expected to rise 1.0% y/y in February. The US monthly budget statement is set to reveal a deficit of $-222.6 billion in February. NZ Food price index is expected to rise 1.2% m/m in February.

Tuesday: USD Inflation Data: The Commerce Department will publish February inflation figures. The Commerce Department will publish February inflation figures at 8:30AM ET (1230GMT) Tuesday. Market analysts expect consumer prices to rise 0.2%, weakening from January’s 0.5% increase, while core inflation is forecast to inch up 0.2%, a touch slower than a month earlier, when core CPI recorded a 0.3% gain.

Wednesday: USD Retail Sales: The Commerce Department will publish data on retail sales for February. The consensus forecast is that the report will show retail sales rose 0.3% last month, snapping back after a decline of 0.3% in January. Core sales are forecast to inch up 0.3%, after holding flat a month earlier.

Thursday: SNB Policy Assessment: The Swiss National Bank’s quarterly monetary policy assessment. Most economists forecast the central bank’s benchmark interest rate to remain unchanged at -0.75%. The SNB is also expected to stick to its commitment to foreign currency interventions if necessary.

Friday: Euro Zone CPI: The euro zone will publish final inflation figures for February. The report is expected to confirm that consumer prices rose 1.2%, 0.1% slower than in the previous month. Perhaps more significantly, the core figure, without volatile energy and food prices, is seen holding steady at 1.0%, unchanged from a month earlier.

Final inflation figures for Germany, France, Spain and Italy are also due this week

Sources: 

https://www.fxstreet.com/analysis/european-fx-outlook-markets-seen-digesting-the-nfp-report-on-data-light-monday-201803120656

https://www.fxstreet.com/economic-calendar

https://www.investing.com/news/economy-news/economic-calendar–top-5-things-to-watch-this-week-1335604

https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

https://www.ft.com/markets