Fed chair Powell sets tone with first policymaking meeting

Dollar slips after Fed decision, trade worries shackle shares. The US central bank raised the target range for the federal funds rate to 1.5-1.75% as it predicted inflation would accelerate in the coming months. The overall message was hawkish, projections indicated there would be three rate increases this year, against some forecasts of four. Instead, the Fed pointed to an extra increase in 2019 with more tightening in 2020.

Wall Street stock indexes ended the day lower, with the S&P 500 (SPX) losing 0.18% despite a boost from sharp gains in energy shares (SPNY) on rising oil prices. The Nasdaq (IXIC) dropped 0.26% with Apple (O:AAPL) falling below its 100-day average even as Facebook (O:FB) bounced back after two days of steep losses amid a controversy over outside exploitation of its users’ data.

That pushed the USD lower in the currency market, with the dollar index (DXY) (=USD) testing this month’s low after posting its biggest fall in two months on Wednesday.

EUR gained 0.2% to $1.2363, extending its recovery from a near three-week low of $1.2240 touched earlier in the week.

USD shed up to 0.4% to 105.58 JPY , turning down on the week to edge closer to the 16-month low of 105.24 hit on March 2. It last stood at 105.91 yen.

GBP pound hit a 1 1/2-month high of $1.4171, building on Wednesday’s one-percent gains. Strong British wage data published on Wednesday cemented expectations that the Bank of England was likely to signal a May rate hike after its monetary policy meeting later in the day.

Following the Fed’s move, the People’s Bank of China gingerly raised the seven-day reverse repo rate, a key short-term interest rate, by 5 basis points, to prevent U.S.-China rate differential from getting too wide.

Sources

https://www.ft.com/video/87ca55bb-fae7-40b6-97d9-8c55d8243780

https://www.ft.com/content/8bd77102-2d4e-11e8-a34a-7e7563b0b0f4

https://www.ft.com/content/332d2e56-57b6-4d6b-8c49-ae8584679154

https://www.ft.com/content/45811dbc-2d93-11e8-9b4b-bc4b9f08f381

https://uk.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/dollar-on-defensive-after-fed-trade-worries-nag-shares-1089564

https://uk.investing.com/news/economy-news/us-set-for-china-tariffs-by-friday-as-trade-diplomat-says-has-tools-1088907

https://uk.investing.com/news/economic-indicators/uk-wage-growth-near-twoandahalf-year-high-boosting-chances-of-bank-of-england-rate-hike-1088073

https://www.fxstreet.com/news/us-dollar-tumbles-to-lows-near-8940-on-fomc-trade-201803220813

 

Amazon tops Alphabet to become second most valuable US-listed company

Bigger than Google, what can be better. Next step for Jeff Bezos, the founder and CEO of Amazon is probably the TIME magazine cover Person of the Year 2018. Justifications for this are simple – just in February 2018 Amazon for the first time bypassed Microsoft on capitalization and ranked among the top three most expensive companies in the world. At that time, the value of the company was second only to Apple and Alphabet.

Well, the time has come, and Amazon overtook Alphabet on Tuesday to become the world’s second most valuable company, capping a year-long surge that has added about $350bn to its stock market value. When the company you are leading overtakes Microsoft and Google in 2 consecutive months, your ego and self-competence might drive the markets in itself.

With Facebook facing biggest threat to its existence in years, Amazon is feeling powerful. The Corporation is dominant in several businesses, first ecommerce and now cloud. It seems like every day there is another announcement of another business they will go after. Investors talk every day about whether companies are Amazon-proof. What a ride

Amazon shares finished up 2.69% at $1,586.51, for a market capitalization of $768 billion, underscoring Wall Street’s confidence in its relentless expansion into cloud computing, groceries and other new businesses.

Alphabet lost 0.39%, trimming its stock market value to $762 billion, as Wall Street fretted about regulatory fallout following revelations that a political consulting firm had improperly obtained personal data on 50 million Facebook Inc. users.

Together, Alphabet and Facebook dominate online advertising. They have previously faced government criticism for how they employ their user data.

Amazon’s stock has surged 81% over the past year, through Monday, bolstered by scorchingly fast revenue growth as more shopping moves online and businesses shift their computing operations to the cloud, where Amazon Web Services leads the market.

Sources: 

https://www.ft.com/news-feed

https://www.fxstreet.com/news/latest

https://www.ft.com/content/22d08b74-2c8d-11e8-9b4b-bc4b9f08f381? segmentId=a7371401-027d-d8bf-8a7f-2a746e767d56

https://www.fxstreet.com/news/gbp-usd-unemployment-earnings-to-pop-sterling- before-us-fed-201803210344? utm_source=NLsession&utm_medium=email&utm_content=hot-story- headline&utm_campaign=europe-newsletter

https://www.ft.com/content/22d08b74-2c8d-11e8-9b4b-bc4b9f08f381? segmentId=a7371401-027d-d8bf-8a7f-2a746e767d56

http://www.livemint.com/Companies/IgpDc3NbyQ5YxqFDUBSsYN/Amazon-tops- Alphabet-to-become-second-most-valuable-USliste.html

https://www.investing.com/equities/amazon-com-inc

 

Daily overview of markets, currencies and commodities

Amid turmoil over Facebook privacy leek, US stock futures edge higher with tech, Fed in focus. Investors taking a breather after a tech-led sell-off left both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite nursing their biggest one day loss in over five weeks. With about an hour to go before the markets open, futures for the S&P 500 were up 0.2% while those for the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Nasdaq 100 nudged 0.1% higher.

The dollar, as measured by the DXY index, is trading 0.5% higher at 90.227. Still, with a Fed rate rise already fully priced in, the dollar barely gained from the prospect of a rate hike.

EUR/USD continues to pivot narrowly around 1.23. The EUR looked well bid yesterday – albeit in the context of a market that is range bound.

GBP/USD still neutral, 1.4145 stays on the expectations.

The USD/JPY is trading back around ¥106.40 as markets look more positive.

WTI (oil futures on NYMEX) extended its five-day winning streak and hit fresh two-week tops just shy of the $ 63 mark before entering a phase of bullish consolidation.

Gold continued losing ground through the mid-European session and dropped back closer to over 2-week lows.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) rose 98.75 points, or 0.4 percent, to 24,709.66. The S&P 500 (SPX) gained 7.04 points, or 0.26 percent, to 2,719.96. The Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) added 11.33 points, or 0.15 percent, to 7,355.57

Sources: 

https://www.ft.com/news-feed#site-content

https://www.ft.com/content/140adba0-2c36-11e8-a34a-7e7563b0b0f4

https://www.ft.com/content/0c682f12-2b80-11e8-9b4b-bc4b9f08f381

https://www.fxstreet.com/news/gold-weakens-back-to-yesterdays-over-2-week-lows-201803201308

https://www.fxstreet.com/news/eur-usd-consolidation-expected-to-break-to-the-upside-scotiabank-201803201351

https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/shares-on-defensive-as-facebook-data-flap-spooks-tech-stocks-1349265

https://www.fxstreet.com/news/gbp-usd-still-neutral-14145-stays-on-the-cards-uob-201803201251

https://www.fxstreet.com/currencies/usdjpy

https://www.fxstreet.com/news/wti-clocks-2-week-tops-near-6290-ahead-of-api-report-201803200925

https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/stock-futures-flat-with-fed-meeting-trumps-tariffs-in-focus-1349907

 

 

 

 

#DeleteFacebook: How socio-political outrage causes company’s value to shrink

Facebook story unveiling these days is a perfect example of how modern companies are valued – by feelings. If feelings are essentially low, bad or poisoned – markets shrink the companies capitalisations with sparkling speed. If, on contrary, investors, traders feel positive about company’s behavior, profits or management – founders and CEOs are earning bonuses on capital growth. Economics of Feel – the highly likely name of modern capitalism for the future generations to use.

Facebook shares fell 6.8% on Monday, wiping $36.7bn off the value of the company. The sell-off spread to other big tech groups as investors worried about greater government regulation of the sector. Alphabet, the parent of Google, fell 3% while Apple and Amazon shares were down by around 1.5%. Worries of investors wipe out billions of dollars of values. Plain amazing.

Long story short: Politicians call for company’s chief Mark Zuckerberg to testify about privacy breach, after revelations that an analytics firm used by Donald Trump’s presidential campaign improperly received data about 50m users of the social network. News like these can destroy the entire business, yes. It is possible, markets say. If you are weak enough, but that is not the case with the Facebook, isn`t it?

Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) and Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) – all part of the so-called FAANG group, along with Facebook – were down between 1% and 6.8%

Facebook (O:FB) led the losses, tumbling 6.8% as the social media colossus faced demands from U.S. and European lawmakers to explain how a consultancy that worked on President Donald Trump’s election campaign gained improper access to data on 50 million Facebook users. In addition, worries about the potential for a trade war cast a shadow after U.S. President Trump imposed tariffs on steel and aluminum.

Sources: 

https://www.ft.com/content/047dd20e-2bba-11e8-9b4b-bc4b9f08f381?emailId=5ab0961eaca23a000417e0c4&segmentId=22011ee7-896a-8c4c-22a0-7603348b7f22

https://www.ft.com/content/3b42aca6-2b6f-11e8-a34a-7e7563b0b0f4?segmentId=a7371401-027d-d8bf-8a7f-2a746e767d56

https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/shares-on-defensive-as-facebook-data-flap-spooks-tech-stocks-1349265

https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/stock-futures-drop-as-fed-caution-facebook-data-leak-weighs-1347753

 

Trump shakes the markets once more with his twitter

U.S. Futures were lower on Monday, after U.S. President Donald Trump unleashed a tweet fury over the weekend, sparking another round of political uncertainty. First, Trump accused Special Counsel Robert Mueller of hiring “hardened Democrats” to investigate a ties between the 2016 presidential campaign and Russia. After a while, he dismissed the idea that former Deputy FBI Director Andrew McCabe had incriminating documents. McCabe was fired on Friday, just two days before his retirement.

Combined these two tweets caused more havoc than entire macroeconomic updates coming from the Fed: The S&P 500 futures fell 14 points or 0.54% to 2,741.25 while Dow futures decreased 131 points or 0.52% to 24,834.0. Meanwhile tech heavy Nasdaq 100 futures was down 98 and a half points or 1.40% to 6,945.50.

Markets are also looking ahead to Wednesday, when the Federal Reserve delivers its interest rate decision. Traders are expecting an interest rate increase as Fed chair Jerome Powell gives his first press conference.

In Europe stocks were down. Germany’s DAX fell 116 points or 0.94% while in France the CAC 40 decreased 35 points or 0.67% and in London, the FTSE 100 was down 91 points or 1.28%. Meanwhile the pan-European Euro Stoxx 50 lost 25 points or 0.74% while Spain’s IBEX 35 slumped 64 points or 0.66%.

Sources: 

https://www.ft.com/markets?format=&page=2

https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/stocks-us-futures-point-to-lower-opening-bell-after-trump-tweet-storm-1347564

https://www.ft.com/content/8c71d1ca-2b14-11e8-9b4b-bc4b9f08f381

https://www.ft.com/content/d959b06c-2889-11e8-b27e-cc62a39d57a0

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/five-reasons-why-single-trump-tweet-mueller-stretched-truth-n857831

 

Oil Prices: outlook for week ahead – rising trend, but low on Monday open

Monday oil prices have shown some decrease since the last week booming. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $62.02 a barrel at 0350 GMT, down 32 cents, or 0.5%, from their previous close. Brent crude Oil futures were at $65.85 per barrel, down 36 cents, or 0.5%.

Monday’s price falls in part reversed increases last Friday, which came on concerns over tensions in the Middle East.

On a simple supply versus demand basis, however, oil markets are facing the possibility of a renewed glut after being in a slight deficit for much of last year. The nearly 1.9% gain ahead of the weekend, helped perhaps by news of much stronger than expected US manufacturing output (1.2% vs. median estimates of 0.6%) ensured the second consecutive weekly advance and the fourth in the past five weeks. The weekly close above $62 and the technical indicators suggest near-term scope for another dollar (or more) advance. The highs from late February are found near $64, and this is the main technical obstacle for a run at the highs near $66 seen at the end of January.

U.S. drillers added four oil rigs in the week to March 16, bringing the total count to 800, the weekly Baker Hughes drilling report said on Friday. Surging U.S. production might hamper exponential growth in crude oil prices.

As for the previous weekly outlook – the previous week had some strong foot on oil markets – WTI crude rose 0.48%, while Brent gained 1.1%.  Analysts and traders have warned that booming U.S. shale oil production could potentially derail OPEC’s effort to rein in a global supply glut and support prices, which is what essentially is happening, actually.

What is the week ahead outlook for oil prices?

Tuesday: The American Petroleum Institute, an industry group, is to publish its weekly report on U.S. oil supplies.
Wednesday: The U.S. EIA is to release weekly data on oil and gasoline stockpiles.
Thursday: The U.S. government will publish a weekly report on natural gas supplies in storage.
Friday: Baker Hughes will release weekly data on the U.S. oil rig count.

Sources: 

https://www.investing.com/news/commodities-news/oil-prices-fall-as-increased-us-drilling-activity-points-to-higher-output-1347225

https://www.investing.com/news/commodities-news/crude-oil-prices–weekly-outlook-march-19–23-1346971

https://www.investing.com/news/forex-news/dollar-steady-as-fed-dot-plot-thickens-yen-edges-higher-1347217

https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

https://www.ft.com/topics/themes/Oil

https://www.ft.com/content/81211898-277d-11e8-b27e-cc62a39d57a0

https://www.ft.com/content/0a485e78-2914-11e8-b27e-cc62a39d57a0

https://www.ft.com/content/16b748f8-2974-11e8-b27e-cc62a39d57a0

https://www.fxstreet.com/news/oil-technical-indicators-suggest-near-term-scope-for-advance-bbh-201803190647