Trump shakes the markets once more with his twitter

U.S. Futures were lower on Monday, after U.S. President Donald Trump unleashed a tweet fury over the weekend, sparking another round of political uncertainty. First, Trump accused Special Counsel Robert Mueller of hiring “hardened Democrats” to investigate a ties between the 2016 presidential campaign and Russia. After a while, he dismissed the idea that former Deputy FBI Director Andrew McCabe had incriminating documents. McCabe was fired on Friday, just two days before his retirement.

Combined these two tweets caused more havoc than entire macroeconomic updates coming from the Fed: The S&P 500 futures fell 14 points or 0.54% to 2,741.25 while Dow futures decreased 131 points or 0.52% to 24,834.0. Meanwhile tech heavy Nasdaq 100 futures was down 98 and a half points or 1.40% to 6,945.50.

Markets are also looking ahead to Wednesday, when the Federal Reserve delivers its interest rate decision. Traders are expecting an interest rate increase as Fed chair Jerome Powell gives his first press conference.

In Europe stocks were down. Germany’s DAX fell 116 points or 0.94% while in France the CAC 40 decreased 35 points or 0.67% and in London, the FTSE 100 was down 91 points or 1.28%. Meanwhile the pan-European Euro Stoxx 50 lost 25 points or 0.74% while Spain’s IBEX 35 slumped 64 points or 0.66%.

Sources: 

https://www.ft.com/markets?format=&page=2

https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/stocks-us-futures-point-to-lower-opening-bell-after-trump-tweet-storm-1347564

https://www.ft.com/content/8c71d1ca-2b14-11e8-9b4b-bc4b9f08f381

https://www.ft.com/content/d959b06c-2889-11e8-b27e-cc62a39d57a0

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/five-reasons-why-single-trump-tweet-mueller-stretched-truth-n857831

 

Oil Prices: outlook for week ahead – rising trend, but low on Monday open

Monday oil prices have shown some decrease since the last week booming. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $62.02 a barrel at 0350 GMT, down 32 cents, or 0.5%, from their previous close. Brent crude Oil futures were at $65.85 per barrel, down 36 cents, or 0.5%.

Monday’s price falls in part reversed increases last Friday, which came on concerns over tensions in the Middle East.

On a simple supply versus demand basis, however, oil markets are facing the possibility of a renewed glut after being in a slight deficit for much of last year. The nearly 1.9% gain ahead of the weekend, helped perhaps by news of much stronger than expected US manufacturing output (1.2% vs. median estimates of 0.6%) ensured the second consecutive weekly advance and the fourth in the past five weeks. The weekly close above $62 and the technical indicators suggest near-term scope for another dollar (or more) advance. The highs from late February are found near $64, and this is the main technical obstacle for a run at the highs near $66 seen at the end of January.

U.S. drillers added four oil rigs in the week to March 16, bringing the total count to 800, the weekly Baker Hughes drilling report said on Friday. Surging U.S. production might hamper exponential growth in crude oil prices.

As for the previous weekly outlook – the previous week had some strong foot on oil markets – WTI crude rose 0.48%, while Brent gained 1.1%.  Analysts and traders have warned that booming U.S. shale oil production could potentially derail OPEC’s effort to rein in a global supply glut and support prices, which is what essentially is happening, actually.

What is the week ahead outlook for oil prices?

Tuesday: The American Petroleum Institute, an industry group, is to publish its weekly report on U.S. oil supplies.
Wednesday: The U.S. EIA is to release weekly data on oil and gasoline stockpiles.
Thursday: The U.S. government will publish a weekly report on natural gas supplies in storage.
Friday: Baker Hughes will release weekly data on the U.S. oil rig count.

Sources: 

https://www.investing.com/news/commodities-news/oil-prices-fall-as-increased-us-drilling-activity-points-to-higher-output-1347225

https://www.investing.com/news/commodities-news/crude-oil-prices–weekly-outlook-march-19–23-1346971

https://www.investing.com/news/forex-news/dollar-steady-as-fed-dot-plot-thickens-yen-edges-higher-1347217

https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/

https://www.ft.com/topics/themes/Oil

https://www.ft.com/content/81211898-277d-11e8-b27e-cc62a39d57a0

https://www.ft.com/content/0a485e78-2914-11e8-b27e-cc62a39d57a0

https://www.ft.com/content/16b748f8-2974-11e8-b27e-cc62a39d57a0

https://www.fxstreet.com/news/oil-technical-indicators-suggest-near-term-scope-for-advance-bbh-201803190647

Daily Forex: main currency and commodities trends across the board for Thursday

Daily Forex: the dollar has been rising on Thursday as investors look ahead to next week’s Federal Reserve meeting at which the market expects a 25 basis point rate rise. The index tracking the world’s reserve currency is up 0.2% at 89.857. In the meantime, the euro is down 0.3% at $1.2333, while the pound is flat at $1.3956. Against the euro, sterling is 0.2% stronger, with £0.8835 required for a unit of the shared currency.

Oil prices are higher. Brent crude, the international benchmark, is up 0.4% at $65.17 a barrel after Opec lifted its demand forecasts as part of its latest monthly report on the industry, even as it warned of dangers from a potential trade war. Gold is 0.1% lower at $1,322.70 per ounce.

Wall Street stock indices are rising and a sense of cautious optimism is helping European bourses put in a steady showing while investors keep watch on Washington for any signs of more protectionist US trade policy.

The S&P is up 0.2 % in opening trade, bouncing back from a 0.6% fall over the previous session. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng recovered from an intraday drop of 0.8% to rise 0.3% overall. Frankfurt’s Xetra Dax 30 is up 0.5%, with London’s FTSE 100 flat. The Europe-wide Stoxx 600 is up 0.2%. Technology and insurance stocks are in demand.

Sources: 

https://www.ft.com/markets/currencies

https://www.ft.com/content/43e68c04-27f7-11e8-b27e-cc62a39d57a0

https://www.investing.com/news/forex-news/forex–dollar-pushes-higher-after-us-import-price-data-1343384

https://www.fxstreet.com/news/latest

https://www.bloomberg.com/markets/currencies

 

Trade war fears define the markets situation, especially in Asia

The Trump administration is rumoured to be preparing another tariff, this time aimed at China. This sentiment is defining market moods on Thursday. Taken in conjunction with speculation of additional cabinet reshuffles, broader risk sentiment could be vulnerable. While U.S. and Chinese officials could be negotiating behind the scenes in an attempt to prevent the situation from worsening, the markets will remain concerned as long as President Trump seems to be going his own way on the matter.

Shanghai lost 0.3% (SSEC), Hong Kong’s Hang Seng (HSI) was flat and Australian stocks (AXJO) fell 0.25%. Japan’s Nikkei (N225) erased earlier losses and crawled up 0.12%. The dollar slipped 0.35% to 105.960 yen after taking a hit the previous day on Trump’s firing of U.S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson. Brent crude futures were flat at $64.89 per barrel.

European bourses are making a steady start and Asian indices are off their lows for the day, but there remains a cautious feel to trade as investors assess the prospects of more protectionist US trade policy.

The dollar is holding steady and US Treasury yields are easing marginally as markets keep watch on the White House for signs of further protectionism.

The euro fell 0.4 percent to 131.045 yen (EURJPY=) and the Australian dollar shed 0.5 percent to 83.36 yen (AUDJPY=).

Oil prices held steady, supported by healthy global demand but capped by a relentless rise in U.S. production that is undermining efforts led by producer cartel OPEC to cut supplies and prop up markets.

Brent crude futures were flat at $64.89 per barrel (LCOc1).

Safe-haven gold rose, with spot prices gaining 0.1 percent to $1,326.16 an ounce.

Sources

https://www.ft.com/content/43e68c04-27f7-11e8-b27e-cc62a39d57a0

https://www.ft.com/news-feed

https://www.investing.com/news/

https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/asia-stocks-sag-bonds-advance-amid-simmering-trade-worries-1342525

 

Focus on US Retail Sales on Wednesday

US Retail Sales unexpectedly contracted 0.1% MoM in February. The EUR/USD is off the highs near $1.2400 that it reached after the weak US retail sales report. The pair rebounds to the 1.2400 handle post-US data as EUR stays under pressure following Draghi’s dovish comments.

After bottoming out in the 1.2360 region, EUR/USD is now looking to regain the 1.2400 handle and above in the wake of disappointing data releases in the US docket. The USD/JPY recovers from the lows of ¥106.31 that it fell to after the weak retail sales. The USD is recovering across the board. Earlier, the US

Dollar suffered from the fears of more tariffs and a protectionist agenda following the ousting of Rex Tillerson as Secretary of State.

However, U.S. stock futures staged a recovery on Wednesday, pointing to a higher open on Wall Street. At 5:55AM ET (9:55GMT), the blue-chip Dow futures gained 91 points, or 0.36%, S&P 500 futures rose 8 points, or 0.30%, while the Nasdaq 100 futures traded up 30 points, or 0.42%.

Source 

https://www.investing.com/news/economy-news/top-5-things-to-know-in-the-market-on-wednesday-1340674

https://www.fxstreet.com/t/news?utm_expid=.kos2fgywQI2pDavx6HhkxQ.1&utm_referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fxstreet.com%2Ft%2Fh

https://www.ft.com/news-feed

https://www.fxstreet.com/currencies/eurusd?utm_expid=.3P9hKnebQNiWu3C5ouyZdg.0&utm_referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fxstreet.com%2Ft%2Fnews

https://www.fxstreet.com/currencies/gbpusd

https://www.ft.com/content/52a583b8-2788-11e8-b27e-cc62a39d57a0

 

 

Global Market Overview: Trump shakes the markets, oil edges up on strong China data

Trump made markets slip again. With Tillerson decision, and turmoils among his advisors who quit amid trade wars concerns US President sends strong uncertainty signals to markets, and not only within US. Asia equities down and Europe called lower amid US political uncertainty, US Treasuries yields fall as stocks stutter. Only oil prices are making good headlines, mainly due to China’s positive data outlook. Oil prices edge down after rocky trading on Tuesday.

Overnight on Wall Street the S&P 500 closed down 0.6% as the tech-focused Nasdaq dropped 1% after Mr Trump blocked Singapore-based Broadcom’s proposed $142bn takeover of Qualcomm on national interest grounds.

The combination of moves by Trump left investors scurrying for safety as global equities took a knock, the dollar fell and bonds rose.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (MIAPJ0000PUS) stumbled 0.7 percent, retreating from a 1-1/2 month high hit on Tuesday, with technology sector the biggest drag.

Japan’s Nikkei (N225) dropped 1 percent and South Korea’s Kospi index (KS11) declined 0.6 percent. China’s SSE (LON:SSE) Composite index (SSEC) and the blue-chip CSI 300 (CSI300) slipped 0.3 percent each.

The weakness followed overnight losses on Wall Street, with the Dow (DJI) off 0.7 percent, the S&P 500 (SPX) down 0.6 percent and the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) falling 1.0 percent.

Separately, Trump is looking to impose tariffs on up to $60 billion of Chinese imports, targeted at information technology, consumer electronics and telecoms.

Oil prices edged up earlier on Wednesday after posting two days of declines at the start of the week.

Support also came from China, where January-February domestic crude oil production fell 1.9 percent on the year to 30.37 million tonnes, equivalent to 3.77 million barrels per day (bpd), according to data from the National Statistical Bureau on Wednesday. At the same time, crude oil throughput rose 7.3 percent to 93.4 million tonnes, implying a need for more imports.

China’s industrial output grew 7.2 percent in the first two months of the year compared with the same period last year, beating expectations of a 6.1 percent hike.

Sources: 

https://www.investing.com/news/commodities-news/oil-prices-fall-on-relentless-rise-in-us-crude-output-1338074

https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/asian-shares-slip-as-tillerson-exit-tariffs-raise-protectionism-fears-1340301

https://www.investing.com/news/

https://www.ft.com/content/8fa467aa-2721-11e8-b27e-cc62a39d57a0

https://www.fxstreet.com/t/news?utm_expid=.kos2fgywQI2pDavx6HhkxQ.1&utm_referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fxstreet.com%2Ft%2Fnews

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-03-14/trump-moves-closer-to-presidency-of-one-with-tillerson-firing