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S&P 500 falls as investors dial back bets on Fed rate cuts in 2025

U.S. stocks declined to start the week, with the S&P 500 hitting a two-month low as bond yields surged following strong payroll data last week, reinforcing bets that the Federal Reserve will maintain a hawkish stance through most of the year.

A recent surge in U.S. Treasury yields may gain even more momentum after a strong jobs report reinforced expectations that interest rates will stay high for longer and raised the spectre of benchmark 10-year yields hitting 5% — a level that some fear could rattle broader markets.

Oil prices climb to 4-month high on expected hit to China and India’s Russian supplies

Oil prices climbed about 2% to a four-month high on expectations that wider U.S. sanctions on Russian oil would force buyers in India and China to seek other suppliers. That put Brent on track for its highest close since August 26 and WTI on track for its highest close since August 12.

The last session saw the Oil gain 0.6% against the Dollar. According to the Stochastic-RSI, we are in an overbought market.
Support: 75.229 | Resistance: 79.399

Inflation report could rattle markets after bond yields climb

U.S. inflation data in the coming week could test the nerves of stock investors and further inflame worries about rising Treasury yields and uncertainty over Donald Trump’s policy plans. After back-to-back standout years, the stock market has wobbled out of the gate in 2025, with the benchmark S&P 500 down about 1% so far this year.

IMF will forecast steady global growth and continuing disinflation when it releases an updated World Economic Outlook, IMF Managing director said. With inflation moving closer to the Fed’s target, and data showing a stable labor market, the Fed could afford to wait for more data before undertaking further interest rate cuts.

Oil prices rally 3% as US hits Russian oil with tougher sanction

Oil prices rallied nearly 3% to their highest in three months as traders braced for supply disruptions from the broadest U.S. sanctions package targeting Russian oil and gas revenue. Joe Biden’s administration imposed fresh sanctions targeting Russian oil producers, tankers, intermediaries, traders and ports.

The Oil-Dollar pair skyrocketed 2.9% in the last session. The MACD is giving a positive signal.
Support: 70.298 | Resistance: 80.978

Treasury yields rise, stock falls, pressured by strong US jobs data

Global stocks fell while U.S. Treasury yields rose after a stronger-than-expected jobs data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will likely keep interest rates elevated for longer than traders were betting on.

Hacks and scams stole $3B from crypto activities in 2024

Blockchain security firm PeckShield reported that hackers and scammers stole more than $3 billion in crypto-related activities in 2024, a significant increase over that of the previous year. It represents a 15% or $400 million increase over 2023.