Boxing-Micro fundamentals, US Yields drives Market Post NFP.

The week begins with a reflection on Friday’s disappointing NFP report which added only 134,000 new jobs as opposed to the expectation of 185,000. Investors were taking aback some resorting to hedging with the safe havens and taking advantage of the plight of the EUR and GBP.

The US market opens for business albeit Columbus day celebrations the US Bond market is to remain closed. Naturally, volatility is expected as market participants ponder on the impact of the NFP report. All other indicators point to the fact that the USD remains firm. US yields are up again undermining global stock and pinning down Emerging Market currencies.
Furthermore, the week marks the rollout of Q3 corporate earnings reports. With Major Banks like JP Morgan on the docket for Friday.

EVEN BOXING COULD IMPACT SHARES

Some savvy market participants have been looking at the impact of micro fundamentals i.e. localized events which drive or impedes on market trends e.g. Saturday’s boxing match in Las Vegas between the undisputed Champion Khabib aka the “Eagle” and MacGregor is reported to have grossed revenues with 7 figures.

Naturally, this could affect the earnings reports of companies and firms associated with the promoting and managing of the fight, similar to the impact that the super bowl has on the market. The logic is if the UFC 229 has risen from a value of $200 million to $ 4 billion it will definitely impact some stocks according to sources from Forbes.

Global Stocks:

For now, stocks are still lingering in a bearish mode as stated earlier. The surge in US yields plays a major role in this as well as the Italian budgetary situation, coupled with an ultimatum from the ECB cautioning EU banks to limit their dependency on the London stock exchange for booking trades and loans by 2022 this news up the heat on an already sweaty EU Market and means the Brexit’s finalization deadline is fast approaching. Canada is on holiday for Thanksgiving Day, Japan on Sports –Health Day and China returns from a week-long national day celebration.

  • Germany30 was in a downward spiral ranging between 12,070.64 and 12,032.35 by the time of print 08:35 GMT with the expectation of further downside possibly to 11,990 and beyond.
  • Italy 40 Fared no better plummeting 1.89% to trade 19,755.00 – 20,142.50 with further downside.
  • UK100 slide 0.88% dismal between 7,244.07 – 7,320.37.
  • US 30 was on a freefall from 26,540.0- 26,327.0 down 0.40%.

Currencies:

  • EUR/USD: On Friday the pair were bullish however having time to decipher the consequences, with the US yields up and a strong dollar, the EUR gave up gains, trading down dropping 0.34% in from  1.1530 –1.1460.
  • GBP/USD’s fate was subdued as Scotland peddles its own ideas of Scot-exit the pair was found down 0.31%  between 1.3028 – 1.3133.
  • USD/JPY: The JPY has been resilient towards the USD send the dollar down almost 0.50% to trade in a range of 113.06 – 113.94.

Commodities

  • XAU/USD recedes by 1.36% into a range from 1,184.23 – 1,204.14
  • Oil: amid the uncertainties of future production ailing the global oil prices with some speculations of Brent oil hitting $100bbl news of explosions hitting Canada’s  St. John’s refinery may affect prices adversely. for now WTI crude oil is bearish between  73.08 – 74.57. perhaps the strong USD weighs.

In other news, attention is shifting to the FAANG stocks, Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix, and Google. since high yields may encourage the Fed to continue raising rates. which may tighten liquidity.

For further details please visit com. You may also leave your comments below.

Some Sources:

https://www.nytimes.com/reuters/2018/10/08/business/08reuters-britain-eu-banks.html

https://uk.investing.com/news/politics-news/brexit-secretary-raab-not-heading-to-brussels-this-week-sun-editor-1335971

https://uk.investing.com/news/politics-news/scotland-should-have-its-own-brexit-backstop-sturgeon-says-1336166

US Jobs Reports (NFP), Meets Profit-taking Friday

Arriving at the end of another very active week coupled with the usual profit-taking and US jobs report (NFP). As the USD maintains its strong stance with slight downward corrections.

Global Stocks: Have not recovered from the bearish mode. As China enters into the 3rd day of National Day commemorations. Meanwhile, Asian shares linger, EU shares struggling for a comeback especially with German Factory orders and PPI surging beyond market expectations. The US stocks were hit hard Thursday, with US 30 dropping nearly 300 pips. The US Yields continue to be bullish Stocks are likely to suffer.

  • Germany30: By the time of print 0:739 GMT was treading close to the current support level of 12,233.50 a decline for 0.09% above the previous close of 12,244.14 ranging between (12,233.50-12,248.02) a drop of up to 0.60% or more would not be surprising before any corrections.
  • Italy 40was amongst the few bullish EU stocks, up 0.09% at the support line of 20,490.00 and looking at a range from (20,490.00-20,532.01) once again abrupt down trends pushing the shares down 0.60%-0.80% before consistent uptrends are seen should be factored in one’s analysis. As ongoing Budgetary woes weigh.
  • UK100 By the time of Print as noted earlier the shares were in a range between (7,405.50-7,420.01) at 12,406.25 a drop of 0.60% -0.80% could easily be incurred before any stable up trends are noted today.US 30 was seen at 26,627.48 between (26,471.61-26,793.82)
  • US30: was seen at 26,627.48 between (26,471.61-26,793.82)

Currencies:

  • EUR/USD: was seen attempting to climb, albeit caught in a range between 1.1496 – 1.1520 as investors seek to take profit in the short squeeze ahead of today’s NFP.
  • GBP/USD: gained some up winds rallying modestly 0.05% to range from 1.2984 – 1.3060, rumors of a Brexit deal with EU is giving as the primary basis.
  • USD/JPY: The USD lost some steam vs the JPY trading bearishly between 113.64 – 114.55 due to upbeat Japanese economic release earlier today and ahead of the NFP.

Commodities: Despite the USD apparent strength as the DXY records a rally of 0.14% at 95.89, commodities took on a defiant stance with most rallying.

 XAU/USD: has not changed much ranging between 1,197.33 – 1,200.40 and continues to Jump in and out of losses.

 Oil: Although WTI crude all is bullish the recent rally comes after a significant drop from 76.47 Thursday’s highs. Ahead of the Baker Hughes Rig Count Oil was seen up 0.27% in a range of (74.47 – 74.94).

Copper & Silver: plummet as most of China’s major industries are closed for holidays

Nickel: remains down trotting between (12,362.50 – 12,612.50) at 12,415.00 down 1.08%

Elsewhere Reserve Bank of India in a surprise decision left interest rates on changed at 6.50% disappointing market participants and sending the rupee slumping stating Calibrating tightening for the reason of their decision.

In the Technology arena, US accuses China of hacking some major firms in the USA by placing tiny chips in servers used by companies like Apple and Amazon to name a few. Facebook goes under the knife again down 2.20% in a range between (157.35 – 161.46) in Premarket
For further details please visit com. You may also leave your comments below.

 

Some Sources:

https://uk.investing.com/equities/facebook-inc

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/10/05/india-keeps-policy-rate-unchanged-in-surprise-move.html

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/10/04/ecb-member-europe-would-appreciate-if-italy-would-stick-to-the-rules.html

 

The Dollar Strikes again ahead of NFP

With the US NFP on tap, following a better than expected ADP report on Wednesday the USD climbed further up as is evident in the DXY, US Dollar index which measures the strength of the USD vs other currencies, which rose by 0.20% to range between 95.87 – 96.12. When the USD becomes strong commodity prices usually falls as it becomes more expensive to acquire and hold onto them. Meanwhile, China is on its second day of National Day celebrations.

Global Stocks: It seems investors are set on capitalizing on the up trends of the USD shunning the Asian Market slightly. Asian Shares plummeted putting the EU shares in a bearish mood. Meanwhile, Wall Street does the rock-steady dance relatively stable for now but could open with lower. By the time of print 09:27 GMT,

  • Germany30: receded 0.39% to range between 12,278.55 – 12,177.30 on a bearish track.
  • Italy 40 plummeted by 0.63% oscillating between 20,525.00 – 20,715.00 in a nose dive.
  • UK100had the steepest decline of 0.90% on a dovish path between  7,436.29 – 7,493.75.

Commodities: Are currently at the mercy of the USD. Most were in bearish trend reversing from the brief surges they took on Wednesday morning.

  • XAU/USD: Has been jumping in and out of small gains which may not be sustained in a range of 1,196.07 – 1,201.05.
  • Oil: After racking up beyond the $76bbl on a built-in US inventory, soon recede to trade capriciously between 76.00 – 76.47 while OPEC and co. maintain its efforts to stabilize prices, some analysts have begun backtracking that Brent oil prices may not reach $100bbl after all as initially assumed.
  • Silver:  Was also dovish in its outlook down 0.7% in a range of 14.590 – 14.675
  • Copper:  prices also dropped 0.28 % to trade between 2.811 – 2.837

 

Currencies:

  • EUR/USD in early trading EU hours the EUR was seen crushed under the USD struggling between 1.1477-1.1463. however abrupt surges to 1.500 are highly possible
  • GBP/ USD. Was seen staging a small come back up 0.27% in a range from 1.2923 – 1.3053
  •  USD/JPY The USD’s firmness has pinned the JPY down 0.22%. the pair was ranging between 114.22 – 114.55.

In other news, Facebook’s scrutiny before EU lawmakers led to a short sell off as uncertainties prevailed, however, with the verdict out being finalized it seems Facebook is ready to handle anything thrown at it. loyal and new clients continue to root for the company. While others search for opportunities to take advantage of the changing tides. FB shares were noted to have climbed 1.55% in a range of 159.53 – 163.66.
For further details please visit com. You may also leave your comments below.

 

 

Some Sources:

https://uk.investing.com/indices/usdollar

https://www.investing.com/commodities/crude-oil-news

https://www.investing.com/news/forex-news/forex–dollar-tracks-bond-yields-higher-as-fed-rate-hikes-loom-1633823

https://www.investing.com/news/forex-news/forex–dollar-lifted-by-positive-private-sectors-jobs-data-yen-falls-1633776

 

 

Italian Tensions Easing Market or Setting it up?

Tensions in Italy, eased EU shares were seen climbing with Asian Stocks, even with Chinese markets closed till the 8th of October for National Day Celebrations and Germany closed for Unity Day commemorations today.

Commodities: Were mostly bullish Wednesday,

  • XAU/USD: was ranging between 1,202.62 – 1,208.31
  • Oil: Cranked up getting used to its new support levels above $75. Ahead of today’s Crude Oil inventories, WTI oil rallied 0.28% trading between 75.07-75.53. As uncertainties surrounding productions is deliberated on there are some projecting Brent Oil to reach $100 bbl by the end of the year.
  • Nickel: Was amongst the few commodities treading water, down 0.20% swinging between highs of 12,575.00 to lows of 12,437.50
  • Silver: was 42% up 14.745 with possible upside ranging from 14.720 – 14.855
  • Copper: Climbed modestly by 12% oscillating between 799 – 2.820.

Currencies:

  • EUR/USD  The EUR rose from almost 6 days of bearish trends on positive headways from the Italian budgetary reports, however, gains may remain in check. By the time of print 09:48 GMT the pair had edged up 0.23% swinging from 1.1536 – 1.1593
  • GBP/ USD.Is hawkish although shaky ahead of UK Prime Minister Speech coupled with Economic data release on UK Services PMI which may fall below expectation. GBP/USD were up 0.22% trending from 1.2941 – 1.3053.
  • USD/JPY pair was reported at 0.19% high, between 113.52 – 113.90.

Global Stocks: Were mostly bullish, however with a deluge of economic reports coming out the euro-area specifically German, and EU, Services PMI may disappoint market expectation.

  • Germany30: Was up above Tuesday’s close yet up streams are contained in a range of 12,203.60 – 12,310.76.
  • Italy 40Rallied by 0.29%to 20,555.00 in an uptrend ranging from 20,530.00 – 20,817.50.
  • UK100 Surged from Tuesday’s lows, up 0.10% at 7,482.37 to range between  7,480.25 – 7,507.75.

For further details please visit xtrade.com. You may also leave your comments below.

 

 

Some Sources:

https://uk.investing.com/analysis/italy-tensions-keep-markets-on-edge-ahead-of-services-pmis-200203956

https://oilprice.com/Energy/Oil-Prices/Why-The-Saudis-Cant-Keep-A-Lid-On-Oil-Prices.html?utm_source=browser&utm_medium=push_notification&utm_campaign=PushCrew_notification_1538539463&_p_c=1

https://uk.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/asian-shares-ease-euro-near-6week-lows-on-italian-woes-gold-jumps-1334628

https://uk.investing.com/news/forex-news/forex–euro-bounces-higher-on-italy-budget-reports-dollar-softer-1334815

https://uk.investing.com/news/commodities-news/after-lean-years-big-oil-is-under-pressure-to-spend-1334684

NAFTA Out, USMCA In! USD Remains Top Gun

In a last-minute ditch, the US and Canada reach a trade agreement. Effectively dumping the NAFTA deal to adopt a three-way agreement between the US, Mexico and Canada dubbed the US Mexican and Canadian Agreement (USMCA).

Although it maintains most of the core frame of the NAFTA agreement substantial efforts were made by both side America and Canada to wrap this deal up, around 12:00AM EST

Global Stocks: Were seen mixed to bearish as the good news between the US, and its neighbors, don’t necessarily trickle to the EU and Asian Markets. In fact, the US-led Sanctions against its neighbors, China and EU remain intact. As investors attempt to analyse the status quo Asian Shares were down trotting. EU stocks were also in a negative mood unable to recover from the pull-down last week by the Italian budget delay which still weighs on market participant’s sentiments.

  • Germany30: Has been pinned into a bearish corner down 0.56% at 12,267.73 ranging between 12,209.71 – 12,300.68 by the time of print 07:45 GMT.
  • France40Had receded by 0.80% at 5,462.54 to range from 5,462.23 – 5,480.24.
  • Italy 40 Was down 1.36% lingering around 20,324.50 in trajectory oscillating between 20,199.50 – 20,489.50
  • UK100was wallowing dovish territory, down 0.45% sliding from 7,488.75-7,453.15

Commodities:

  • WTI Crude Oil: Friday’s Baker Hughes report indicated a drop in the number of USD Rigs from 866 down to 863 perhaps as Oil prices rise it becomes not competitive enough for shale an fracking oil extraction.
  • OPEC was only able to add 90,000bbl even with Saudi Arabia sticking to its pledge to boost production in September and October.
  • Approaching deadline for US-Led sanctions Iran exacerbates matters causing acute panics of insufficient oil. WTI rose in tandem up 0.11% at 75.38 and set in this 75.35 – 75.91ahead of Tuesdays’ weekly API oil stockpiles.
  • Gold As investors ponder the effects on recent US monetary policy raising the Interest rates, formalization of trade agreements between the US, Mexico, and Canada with an eye out for the upcoming Indian Holiday of lights (Diwali) cautious market participants explore the option of hedging or acquiring the precious Metal (GOLD) especially after falling below the 1200 mark

Currencies:

EUR/USD With the USD retaining its bullish stance the EUR and other majors have relinquished gains. The EUR/USD pair was down 0.43% at 1.1528 swinging between 1.1522 – 1.1623

  • GBP/USDGBP has not been making any headway down 0.48% at 1.2982 ranging between 1.2976 – 1.3053 as the UK’s PMI reveals that the construction Industry shrunk at a faster pace with the previous 6-months.
  • AUD/USD The RBA as expected did not raise the interest rate. Standing pat at 1.50% the AUD was subdued to the rallying USD with the pair seen trending between 0.7168 – 7238 down 0.80%
  • USD/JPY although the USD consolidates which is evident in the climb in the DXY up 0.32% at 95.60. The USD was unable to retain its grip over the JPY, with the pair seen backsliding 0.20% from 114.02-113.63 at 113.66.

Cryptocurrencies:

The Crypto arena continues to splash water in the market as the establishment looks for a better way to regulate and provide safety to the industry. As ICO ‘s become rampant with occasion fraudulent activities. All in all, as the blockchain technology, become ubiquitous Token gain popularity and shamed. Ripple, for example, went live with it xRapid with 3 initial users to test the transaction platform.

  • XRP shares rallied initially before parking at 0.56217 a 24-hour change of -4.48%, however, a positive 7day change of +22.69%
  • BTC was also bearish down 0.18% after a brief rally.

Meanwhile, Tesla CEO, Elon Musk faces SEC punitive action weighing of Telsa socks and Wall Street investors decipher the ramifications.

 

For further details please visit xtrade.com. You may also leave your comments below.

Some Sources:

https://oilprice.com/Energy/Crude-Oil/Underwhelming-OPEC-Fuels-Oil-Price-Rally.html?utm_source=browser&utm_medium=push_notification&utm_campaign=PushCrew_notification_1538452885&_p_c=1

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/10/01/nafta-deal-doesnt-mean-us-china-trade-relations-are-about-to-improve.html

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/10/01/new-trump-trade-deal-leaves-nafta-largely-intact.html

https://www.investing.com/news/cryptocurrency-news/ripples-xrapid-goes-live-with-3-initial-users-1631282.

 

 

Is the USD Invincible? Another Profit Taking Friday

 

Is the USD invincible? another Profit-taking Friday laced with a very active financial calendar. On the docket are various Consumer Price Index reports, PCE, and Canada’s GDP report to mention a but a few.

Following the US fed rate hike’s initial scrutiny, The USD has established its stance vs a basket of other majors such as the EUR, GBP, JPY, and CHF.as “invincible”.  Upbeat Microeconomic data partly due to Private Sector Credit and ahead of the RBA’s rate decision lifted the AUD vs USD.

The DXY which measures the strength of the USD vs other majors was gathering momentum after a small downward correction, ranging between 94.92 – 95.12 up 0.18% by the time of print 07:47 GMT

Global Stocks: Were hit again after registering minor gains late Thursday. China reported a slowdown in industrial profit growth, down to 5-month lows amid coping with other punitive sanction from the US for purchasing Russian fighter jets. Italy’s budgetary and political saga weighs on Italian stock and impacts some EU sentiments negatively.

  • Germany30: Had lost 0.83% by the time of print 07:47 GMT. Ranging between 12,315.19 – 12,392.83 reversals are abounding, yet caution is warranted.
  • France40 Registered losses of 0.50% at 5,515.92 and trending from5,503.98 – 5,522.17
  • Italy 40 Is still churning on its tummy with no immediate resolute, between 20,882.50 – 21,075.00 down 2.40% at 20,922.50.
  • UK100 was looking for some respite however with the opposition party in search of a way to derail any Brexit proposals. The asset was pressured between 7,522.25 – 7,549.25
  • Meanwhile, Wall Street was supported by Apple Inc. and tech stocks.

Commodities:

  • WTI Crude Oil: Ahead of the day’s Baker Hughes Rig count report. and Sanction on Iran to curb its production of Oil in an increasingly Oil demanding era. Oil Prices are surging with rumors that BRENT OIL may touch $100 bbl and Crude Oil to the upside of the $80bbl. The politics surrounding Oil prices suggests it could be allowed to float higher in the short term. Today WTI stood 0.26% up at 72.31 in a range from 72.11 – 72.38. amid reports that Saudi Arabia and some OPEC members are quietly deliberating on boosting production by some 500,000bbl.
  • Gold Prices have been on a selloff in a range between  1,184.50 -1,189.10 as investors fell out of love with the safe havens, sorting after riskier assets.
  • Currencies
    EUR/USD  The EUR slipped further down from Thursday’s open down 0.17% at 1.1622 to trend from 1.1613 – 1.1651
  • GBP/USD With ongoing Brexit fine-tuning, Boris Johnson is said to have hinted that, PM Theresa May, scrapes her Brexit proposal. Amid a disappointing UK GDP, Business Investment and Current Account reports. The pair were spotted down 0.15% at 1.3058 set on a bearish path from 1.3091-1.3038 knee jerks are not ruled out.
  • AUD/USD Standing out from the majors was the AUD beating its chest, up 0.21% and ranging from 0.7202 – 0.7225.

Cryptocurrencies: In tandem to Thursday’s post it is obvious by now that more investors are flocking back to the Cryptocurrencies’ to capitalize on their low rates. 96% of tokens were in a bullish mood. Green was registered across the boards

  • BTC/USD was up 4.37%
  • ETH/USD up 6.38%
  • XRP/USD up 3.08% on average all cryptos were up 3.6% approx. As Italy prepare to join the European Blockchain partnership.

 

 

For further details please visit xtrade.com. You may also leave your comments below.

 

Some Sources:

https://uk.investing.com/news/economy-news/italys-budget-proposal-hikes-deficit-defies-eu-and-sends-shiver-through-markets-1330217

https://uk.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/italian-stocks-banks-bruised-by-italy-budget-delay-1328809

https://www.investing.com/news/forex-news/forex–dollar-little-changed-aussie-dollar-inches-up-ahead-of-rba-decision-1627397